*Main Model - Table 1:
logit cvsg prop_sotu_argued salient pres_sc_abv election_year margin_victory divided pres_app con_question, cluster(year_argued)

*Adjusted Probabilities & Figure 1
margins, at(prop_sotu_argued=(0 (.005) .447) (median)salient (mean)pres_sc_abv (median)election_year (mean)margin_victory (median)divided (mean)pres_approve (median)con_question) vsquish
marginsplot, xlabel(0 .034 .1 .2 .3 .4 .447) recast(line) recastci(rarea) level(90)

